Trump and Jerome Powell in Federal Reserve building undergoing renovations.

Mortgage rates declined slightly, treasuries remained steady. Trump buys $200B in MBS. Fed Chair Powell strikes Back.

Current Rates

(Primary source: Optimal Blue updated Jan 14, 2026)

• 30-Year Conventional: 6.020% (↓ −0.01%)

• 30-Year FHA: 5.920% (unchanged)

• 30-Year Jumbo: 6.344% (↓ −0.09%)

• 30-Year DSCR: ~6.60–6.70% (est., ~0.50–0.65% above 30Y conventional)

• 10-Year Treasury: 4.17% (↑ +0.01%)

• Effective Fed Funds Rate: 3.64% (unchanged)

• December Inflation Rate: 2.7% Annual Inflation CPI Rate (source: bls.gov)

What Markets Are Watching

• Jan 28 (2:00pm ET): FOMC Meeting - Fed policy decision

• May 15th 2026: Fed Chair Powell’s Last Day as Chair of Fed.

Editors Opinion

2026 kicked off to big events driving interest rates. Trump said he is ordering representatives to purchase $200 Billion in mortgages, which drove down interest rates ~.10%. This is a very small movement in rates and will amount to little more than a rounding error; more symbolical in nature. Trump wants rates down and he will do whatever it takes.

In the same week, the DOJ issued the Fed Chair Powell a subpoena threatening criminal indictment related to the use of funds for renovating a historic Federal Reserve building .

Fed Chair Powell released a video striking back at Trump calling this action “pretext” and characterizing it as a full on assault on the independence of the Fed by President Trump. Posted to their YouTube channel only 4 days ago, it is already the most viewed video ever from the Federal Reserve.

Watch Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell.

Have an idea for a future topic? We rely on readers to help guide the direction of our publication. Reply back directly to this email with your request.

To support the newsletter checkout our sponsor below.

Dalio: “Stocks Only Look Strong in Dollar Terms.” Here’s a Globally Priced Alternative for Diversification.

Ray Dalio recently reported that much of the S&P 500’s 2025 gains came not from real growth, but from the dollar quietly losing value. Reportedly down 10% last year!

He’s not alone. Several BlackRock, Fidelity, and Bloomberg analysts say to expect further dollar decline in 2026.

So, even when your U.S. assets look “up,” your purchasing power may actually be down.

Which is why many investors are adding globally priced, scarce assets to their portfolios—like art.

Art is traded on a global stage, making it largely resistant to currency swings.

Now, Masterworks is opening access to invest in artworks featuring legends like Banksy, Basquiat, and Picasso as a low-correlation asset class with attractive appreciation historically (1995-2025).*

Masterworks’ 26 sales have yielded annualized net returns like 14.6%, 17.6%, and 17.8%.

They handle the sourcing, storage, and sale. You just click to invest.

Special offer for my subscribers:

*Based on Masterworks data. Investing involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.

Reply

Avatar

or to participate

Keep Reading